Union (Modoc)
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Blue River Valley Early Bird Invitational Ethan Cheeseman Memorial Run Meister Family Memorial Run Arabian Roundup Wapahani Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational New Castle Invite Connersville Spartan Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Randolph County Mid-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional
Date 8/14 8/16 8/20 8/25 8/27 9/10 9/13 9/20 9/24 9/27 10/1 10/8 10/15
Team Rating
Team Adjusted Rating
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Blue River Valley Early Bird Invitational Ethan Cheeseman Memorial Run Meister Family Memorial Run Arabian Roundup Wapahani Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational New Castle Invite Connersville Spartan Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Randolph County Mid-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional
784  Lilly Pierce 11 22:13 21:51 21:49 21:38 21:30 22:24 21:51 21:37 22:01 22:53 21:44 22:12 23:50 22:20 23:22




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lilly Pierce 9.3% 134.9 9.3% 9.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lilly Pierce 100% 36.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lilly Pierce 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.4 2.7 4.0 6.6 9.0 12.6 15.6 14.5 12.5 8.9 5.8 3.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1